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Collins Stewart Hosts Your Humble Reporter in Conference Call on The Kindle Revolution: Recent Trends in the eBooks Market

By Stephen Windwalker
Originally posted February 7, 2010 at Kindle Nation Daily – © Kindle Nation Daily 2010

Tomorrow morning, at 11:30 am EST Monday February 8, I have been invited by the independent financial advisory group Collins Stewart to be its guest speaker on a conference call to discuss Recent Trends in the eBooks Market, and interested citizens of Kindle Nation are invited to listen in along with a wide array of institutional investors, business news media, and company representatives. Here’s a link to the Collins Stewart news feed on the conference call.

Here are the topics that have been suggested to me by Collins Stewart senior analyst Sandeep Aggarwal, who will host the call:

  • 1. How big can be the eBook market in the next 2-3 years i.e. can eBook achieve 25% penetration in next 3 years?  
  • 2. What are some examples of buyers’ behavior for eBooks that are encouraging and/or unique?  
  • 3. Are publishers excited or threatened by the traction of eBooks?  
  • 4. Which eBook readers are likely to win? Is iPad a compelling threat to Kindle?  
  • 5. Which eBook publishing platforms are likely to win and why?  
  • 6. How do the economics for publishers’ vary on Kindle vs. traditional book sales at Amazon.com?  
  • 7. Where do you think the economics for publishers are heading in next couple of years?

I’ll also be sharing some fascinating early returns from the Winter 2010 Kindle Nation Citizen Survey, which has had over 1,000 respondents since it went live at 1:30 pm yesterday.

If you would like to listen in, just dial in a moment or two before the call, which is supposed to run at most from 11:30 am EST to 12:30 pm EST:

Toll-Free: 800-446-1671
International Access: 847-413-3362
Confirmation Number 26349150

There will also be a Replay available for the next two months, and I will share that number here later if I make it through the call without excessive stuttering or other embarrassment.

Make Your Voice Heard: Take the Winter 2010 Kindle Nation Citizen Survey

With the current controversies and competition involving ebook prices and devices, your experiences and views as a reader are of great interest to other readers and to authors, publishers, booksellers, journalists, investors and those who follow what is going on in the book business. In our last two surveys (April 2009 and October 2009), we’ve had extremely high levels of participation and attracted the interest of all the primary players.
With your participation in the current survey, we hope to help Amazon, authors and publishers, and others see more clearly than ever what’s important to readers as we enter a new decade. I’ve limited this survey to 10 questions, but I hope you will also feel free to use the comment areas to say whatever needs saying. Future Kindle Nation Daily posts will provide detailed reports on your responses, but your confidentiality and privacy will always remain well-guarded. (If you’d prefer to have your name included with your comments, please indicate this specifically in the body of your comment.)
Two notes about tiny glitches in the survey:
  • The “comments” area only appears on survey questions 1-5. Please feel free to email any additional comments to kindlenation@gmail.com.
  • Please ignore the “Most likely” column at the far right-hand of survey questions 8 and 10.
Thanks for your cooperation!

Security, Tax Relief, Light, and Something Sweet — All in One Post?

I generally confine my Amazon product links to items that are strictly Kindle-related in the narrowest sense, but there are a couple of things I am grabbing today while the price is right, and it struck me that they might be timely recommendations for you as well. (The last time I did this was when I found an amazing deal on pure Vermont maple syrup, and apparently, based on the feedback I got, there were dozens of Kindle Nation citizens with whom I share a sweet tooth!)

In addition I’ll mention a Kindle accessory that I absolutely love:

  • The first is an Amazon Deal of the Day for a Kaspersky Internet Security 2010 3-User disc. My laptop is currently running naked, which can’t possibly be a good thing, so I am jumping on this today while the $26.95 price lasts. H’mm. I wonder if there are any developers out there working on a Kindle Security app….
  • The second relates back to a Tax Time with the Kindle post I did two weeks ago. It’s all well and good to have the tax guides I mentioned, but I’m going to need some software too, and I’ve had good success in recent years using TurboTax Deluxe Federal + State 2009 + efile, which enables to bang out the entire onerous task in one or two sittings. (Of course, that’s after I’ve gathered and organized the data to begin with.) You can also find alternatives Amazon’s tax store.
  • I like to read myself to sleep at night, and I’ve also been known to wake early and read the morning paper on my Kindle before dawn. There’s only one way to carry on such activities without them becoming relationship deal-breakers, and that’s to accessorize one’s Kindle with a great reading light. For Christmas, my son gave me a Mighty Bright XtraFlex2 Clip-On Light, and I use it constantly. I may have to get a second one, since I even find myself detaching it from my Kindle to clip it to magazines and paperbacks when I’m reading something with a tiny font size. Of course, if it comes to that I may be an equal opportunity shopper and try a M-Edge e-Luminator2 Kindle Booklight or a Kandle LED Book Light.

By the way,  if you want a heads up on these Deal of the Day offerings, here’s a link where you can sign up directly with Amazon.

Kindle Nation Daily Bargain Book Alert for Friday, February 5, 2010: 50 for Under a Buck

There are big changes afoot in the Kindle Store, and it is likely — at least until we hear definitive news to the contrary directly from Amazon — that in a few months a much smaller portion of the store’s offerings will be as affordable as they are today. Three of the Big Six publishers (MacMillan, HarperCollins, and Hachette) have joined together under the collusive anti-reader price-gouging auspices of the BS Cabal to announce that they will soon raise ebook prices by 30 to 50 percent, and Amazon itself said recently that beginning later this year it would pay 70 percent royalties to its indie ebook authors, but only if they priced books at $2.99 and up.

So I thought it would be a good time to celebrate this moment of great 99-cent Kindle Store offerings by helping the citizens of Kindle Nation find some of the hidden offerings priced at less than a dollar, with lists here of Intriguing Recent Releases, the 99-Cent Kindle Store Bestseller List, Great Blogs for 99 Cents a Month, Literate Erotica at 99 Cents a Pop, and Five Other 99-Cent Bargains by Yours Truly:

Ten Intriguing Recent Releases for Under a Buck
 

The 99-Cent Kindle Store Bestsellers’ List

  
 
Five Other 99-Cent Titles by Yours Truly
(When Amazon initiates its new $2.99+ pricing and 70%-royalty structure, I will have decisions to make on some of these. But for now, they are all priced under a dollar)

 

MacMillan CEO Says "Time is Getting Near to Hand" for Return of Amazon’s Buy Buttons for MacMillan Titles

File this one, perhaps, under “If a tree falls in the forest….”

If “Buy” buttons are restored to MacMillan’s new-release ebook titles at prices of $12.99 to $14.99 in the Kindle Store, will anyone pay attention to the buy buttons?

In a paid advertisement that appeared on the Publisher’s Marketplace website today, MacMillan Publishing CEO says the following:

To: Macmillan Authors and Illustrators

cc: Literary Agents

From: John Sargent

I am sorry I have been silent since Saturday. We have been in constant discussions with Amazon since then. Things have moved far enough that hopefully this is the last time I will be writing to you on this subject.

Over the last few years we have been deeply concerned about the pricing of electronic books. That pricing, combined with the traditional business model we were using, was creating a market that we believe was fundamentally unbalanced. In the last three weeks, from a standing start we have moved to a new business model. We will make less money on the sale of e books, but we will have a stable and rational market. To repeat myself from last Sunday’s letter, we will now have a business model that will ensure our intellectual property will be available digitally through many channels, at a price that is both fair to the consumer and that allows those who create and publish it to be fairly compensated.

We have also started discussions with all our other partners in the digital book world. While there is still lots of work to be done, they have all agreed to move to the agency model.

And now on to royalties. Three or four weeks ago, we began discussions with the Author’s Guild on their concerns about our new royalty terms. We indicated then that we would be flexible and that we were prepared to move to a higher rate for digital books. In ongoing discussions with our major agents at the beginning of this week, we began informing them of our new terms. The change to an agency model will bring about yet another round of discussion on royalties, and we look forward to solving this next step in the puzzle with you.

A word about Amazon. This has been a very difficult time. Many of you are wondering what has taken so long for Amazon and Macmillan to reach a conclusion. I want to assure you that Amazon has been working very, very hard and always in good faith to find a way forward with us. Though we do not always agree, I remain full of admiration and respect for them. Both of us look forward to being back in business as usual.

And a salute to the bricks and mortar retailers who sell your books in their stores and on their related websites. Their support for you, and us, has been remarkable over the last week. From large chains to small independents, they committed to working harder than ever to help your books find your readers.

Lastly, my deepest thanks to you, our authors and illustrators. Macmillan and Amazon as corporations had our differences that needed to be resolved. You are the ones whose books lost their buy buttons. And yet you have continued to be terrifically supportive of us and of what we are trying to accomplish. It is a great joy to be your publisher.

I cannot tell you when we will resume business as usual with Amazon, and needless to say I can promise nothing on the buy buttons. You can tell by the tone of this letter though that I feel the time is getting near to hand.

All best,

John

How Much Money is Publishing’s BS Cabal Leaving on the Table? 10 Million eReaders to Be Shipped in 2010, Says Leading Display Manufacturer PVI

By Stephen Windwalker
(Originally posted February 4, 2010 at Kindle Nation Daily – © Kindle Nation Daily 2010)

Prime View International (PVI), the Taiwanese company that bought Cambridge, MA-based eInk last year and is the leading manufacturer of display components used in the Kindle and several other ereaders, anticipates now that as many as 10 million ereaders could be shipped in 2010, reports Digitimes’ Susie Pan from Taipei. Prior to this statement by PVI chairman Scott Liu, most estimates of 2010 ereader shipments have been around 6 million.

It is not known whether PVI’s projections are intended to include figures for 2010 shipments of non-dedicated devices such as Apple’s new iPad, which is slated to begin shipping in late March and by some accounts could account for sales in the 3 to 5 million unit range in 2010.


So, if the US book publishing industry’s BS Cabal (the Big Six publishers and Apple’s Steve Jobs) continue to base their strategies on a belief that they can resist the ebook revolution and pursue collusive  anti-consumer pricing and content withholding schemes, one wonders:

  • How much money they will leave on the table before they get it?
  • How many independent and/or traditionally published authors will just decide to connect directly with new technology platforms like the Kindle’s Digital Text Platform in order to make their books available and cut out the middle men so that they can enjoy all of the coming 70 percent royalties?
  • How many readers will reject the traditional publishers’ roles as gatekeepers and arbiters of taste, gradually shift their attentions to more and more independent authors and publishers?

Kindle Nation Daily Free Book Alert for Thursday, February 4, 2010:

Devotions for Lent


  
The Apothecary’s Daughter by Julie Klassen (Jan 1, 2009)

Talk of the Town Lisa Wingate (Mar 1, 2008)

Daisy Chain (Defiance Texas Trilogy, Book 1) Mary E. DeMuth (Mar 1, 2009)

Peculiar Treasures (The Katie Weldon Series #1) Robin Jones Gunn (Apr 1, 2008)

Velvet Elvis: Repainting the Christian Faith Rob Bell (Jul 1, 2006)

Icy Heat: A Heat series story by Leigh Wyndfield

John Newton: From Disgrace to Amazing Grace by Jonathan Aitken (Jun 7, 2007)

His Lady Mistress
Slow Hands (Harlequin Blaze)